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Basketball
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-0.4%
6h ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.7% to -0.4%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
4.02%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$75
0.75× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 71% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
5d
2
Luka Doncic
Grail
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
1d
3
Cade Cunningham
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,000
30.00×
—
0.020%
$0.60
14d
4
Larry Bird
Chase
2024-25 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$429
4.29×
—
0.250%
$1.07
1d
5
Nikola Jokic
Chase
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$420
4.20×
—
0.250%
$1.05
1d
6
Jayson Tatum
Chase
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$379
3.79×
—
0.250%
$0.95
1d
7
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$350
3.50×
—
0.250%
$0.88
6h
8
Tracy McGrady
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$314
3.14×
—
0.250%
$0.79
6h
9
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$271
2.71×
—
0.250%
$0.68
6h
10
Luka Doncic
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
11
Tony Parker
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012-13 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
12
Michael Jordan
1992 Skybox USA · psa 10.0
$203
2.03×
—
1.960%
$3.98
7h
13
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$172
1.72×
—
1.960%
$3.37
6h
14
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Fleer Metal · psa 8.0
$169
1.69×
—
1.960%
$3.32
6h
15
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Threads · psa 10.0
$166
1.66×
—
1.960%
$3.25
6h
16
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 10.0
$142
1.43×
—
1.960%
$2.79
6h
17
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$142
1.43×
—
1.960%
$2.79
6h
18
Michael Jordan
1992-93 Fleer · psa 9.0
$126
1.26×
—
1.960%
$2.47
6h
19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$123
1.23×
—
1.960%
$2.42
6h
20
VJ Edgecombe
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$123
1.23×
—
1.960%
$2.42
6h
21
Kobe Bryant
1999-00 Skybox E-X · psa 8.0
$118
1.18×
—
1.960%
$2.32
6h
22
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 9.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.960%
$2.16
6h
23
Kevin Durant
2007-08 Topps · psa 9.0
$106
1.06×
—
1.960%
$2.07
6h
24
Carmelo Anthony
2003-04 Bowman · psa 10.0
$105
1.05×
—
1.960%
$2.06
6h
25
Kon Knueppel/Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$104
1.04×
—
1.960%
$2.04
10h
26
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$99
0.99×
—
1.960%
$1.95
6h
27
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$98
0.98×
—
1.960%
$1.92
6h
28
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.91
6h
29
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.90
8h
30
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 10.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.90
6h
31
Victor Wembanyama
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$96
0.96×
—
1.960%
$1.89
6h
32
Anfernee Hardaway
1993-94 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$88
0.88×
—
1.960%
$1.72
6h
33
Steph Curry
2024 Topps Now Olympics · psa 9.0
$83
0.83×
—
1.960%
$1.62
6h
34
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$82
0.82×
—
1.960%
$1.61
7h
35
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.960%
$1.57
6h
36
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.960%
$1.47
8h
37
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$74
0.74×
—
1.960%
$1.45
6h
38
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$70
0.70×
—
1.960%
$1.38
6h
39
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$70
0.69×
—
1.960%
$1.36
15h
40
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Clearly Donruss · beckett 9.5
$69
0.69×
—
1.960%
$1.36
6h
41
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection · psa 10.0
$69
0.69×
—
1.960%
$1.36
6h
42
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.960%
$1.29
8h
43
LeBron James
No Market Comps Found
2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · beckett 9.5
$66
0.66×
—
1.960%
$1.29
9h
44
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.960%
$1.25
8h
45
Michael Jordan
1989-90 Fleer · psa 7.0
$63
0.63×
—
1.960%
$1.23
6h
46
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
6h
47
Magic Johnson
1988-89 Fleer · psa 9.0
$59
0.59×
—
1.960%
$1.16
6h
48
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$57
0.57×
—
1.960%
$1.12
6h
49
Jalen Green
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.960%
$1.08
7h
50
Jalen Green
2023-24 Topps Chrome Sapphire · psa 10.0
$54
0.54×
—
1.960%
$1.06
7h
51
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Athlete of the Century · psa 8.0
$51
0.51×
—
1.960%
$1.00
7h
52
Coby White
2019-20 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.960%
$0.94
6h
53
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.960%
$0.92
6h
54
Chet Holmgren
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.960%
$0.88
6h
55
Jeremy Sochan
Pop 1
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$44
0.44×
—
1.960%
$0.86
6h
56
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$43
0.43×
—
1.960%
$0.84
6h
57
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.960%
$0.82
11h
58
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Fleer Ultra · psa 8.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
6h
59
Kevin Durant
2007-08 Topps · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
6h
60
Kobe Bryant
2009-10 Panini Season Update · psa 8.0
$11
0.11×
—
1.960%
$0.21
6h
61
Kyle Guy
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$10
0.10×
—
1.960%
$0.20
6h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$91.50
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