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Basketball
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
+10.8%
1d ago
% life +EV
13%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -23.7% to +10.8%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
5.98%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$82
0.82× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 74% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Victor Wembanyama
Grail
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
4d
2
Luka Doncic
Grail
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$3,500
35.00×
—
0.020%
$0.70
1d
3
Cade Cunningham
Grail
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$3,000
30.00×
—
0.020%
$0.60
14d
4
Larry Bird
Chase
2024-25 Panini Court Kings · psa 9.0
$429
4.29×
—
0.250%
$1.07
1d
5
Nikola Jokic
Chase
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 9.0
$420
4.20×
—
0.250%
$1.05
1d
6
Jayson Tatum
Chase
2024-25 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$379
3.79×
—
0.250%
$0.95
1d
7
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$350
3.50×
—
0.250%
$0.88
6h
8
Keyonte George
Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$318
3.18×
—
0.250%
$0.80
20h
9
Luka Doncic
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$266
2.66×
—
0.250%
$0.67
1d
10
Anthony Edwards
Chase
2020-21 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$257
2.57×
—
0.250%
$0.64
6h
11
Tony Parker
Chase
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2012-13 Panini Flawless · psa 9.0
$257
2.57×
—
0.250%
$0.64
1d
12
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$214
2.14×
—
1.960%
$4.19
6h
13
Michael Jordan
1992 Skybox USA · psa 10.0
$203
2.03×
—
1.960%
$3.98
7h
14
Stephen Curry
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$186
1.86×
—
1.960%
$3.66
6h
15
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 Upper Deck SP · psa 9.0
$175
1.75×
—
1.960%
$3.44
2h
16
Kevin Garnett
1995-96 Topps · psa 10.0
$159
1.59×
—
1.960%
$3.12
6h
17
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 9.0
$157
1.57×
—
1.960%
$3.07
6h
18
Kobe Bryant
2005-06 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$131
1.31×
—
1.960%
$2.57
6h
19
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$125
1.25×
—
1.960%
$2.46
9h
20
Kobe Bryant
2002-03 Fleer Platinum · psa 10.0
$125
1.25×
—
1.960%
$2.46
6h
21
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$125
1.25×
—
1.960%
$2.46
6h
22
Michael Jordan
1990-91 Fleer · psa 9.0
$110
1.10×
—
1.960%
$2.16
6h
23
Kon Knueppel/Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$104
1.04×
—
1.960%
$2.04
9h
24
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.91
6h
25
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Skybox Premium · psa 8.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.90
7h
26
Victor Wembanyama
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$97
0.97×
—
1.960%
$1.90
6h
27
Keith Van Horn
2003-04 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$90
0.90×
—
1.960%
$1.76
6h
28
Michael Jordan
1991-92 Panini Stickers · psa 8.0
$89
0.89×
—
1.960%
$1.74
6h
29
LeBron James
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.960%
$1.70
6h
30
Amen Thompson
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.960%
$1.70
6h
31
Ace Bailey
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$85
0.85×
—
1.960%
$1.67
4h
32
Carmelo Anthony
2003-04 Upper Deck Hardcourt · psa 8.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.960%
$1.65
8h
33
Carmelo Anthony
2003-04 Bowman · psa 10.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.960%
$1.65
6h
34
Stephen Curry
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Panini Illusions · beckett 9.5
$82
0.82×
—
1.960%
$1.61
6h
35
LeBron James
No Market Comps Found
2019-20 Panini Donruss Optic · beckett 9.5
$82
0.82×
—
1.960%
$1.61
8h
36
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$82
0.82×
—
1.960%
$1.61
6h
37
LaMelo Ball
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.960%
$1.47
8h
38
Michael Jordan
1989-90 Hoops Superstars · psa 8.0
$75
0.75×
—
1.960%
$1.47
6h
39
Stephen Curry
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$74
0.73×
—
1.960%
$1.44
6h
40
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$70
0.69×
—
1.960%
$1.36
14h
41
Darius Garland
Pop 1
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.960%
$1.29
9h
42
Anthony Edwards
2020-21 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$66
0.66×
—
1.960%
$1.29
7h
43
LeBron James
2025-26 Topps Living · psa 10.0
$65
0.65×
—
1.960%
$1.27
6h
44
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.960%
$1.25
8h
45
Shaquille O'Neal
1992-93 Topps · psa 7.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
8h
46
Hakeem Olajuwon
No Market Comps Found
1998-99 Topps Chrome · sgc 9.5
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
8h
47
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Now · psa 10.0
$61
0.61×
—
1.960%
$1.20
6h
48
Michael Jordan
1990-91 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$57
0.57×
—
1.960%
$1.12
6h
49
Jalen Green
2023-24 Panini Mosaic · psa 9.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.960%
$1.08
6h
50
De'Aaron Fox
2017-18 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$55
0.55×
—
1.960%
$1.08
1h
51
Jalen Green
2023-24 Topps Chrome Sapphire · psa 10.0
$54
0.54×
—
1.960%
$1.06
6h
52
Brandon Miller
2023-24 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.960%
$1.02
7h
53
Michael Jordan
1999-00 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Athlete of the Century · psa 8.0
$51
0.51×
—
1.960%
$1.00
6h
54
Paolo Banchero
2022-23 Panini Revolution · psa 9.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.960%
$0.92
6h
55
Kawhi Leonard
2012-13 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.960%
$0.91
6h
56
Ron Holland II
2024-25 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.960%
$0.88
8h
57
Chet Holmgren
2022-23 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$45
0.45×
—
1.960%
$0.88
6h
58
Kobe Bryant
2018-19 Panini Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$42
0.42×
—
1.960%
$0.82
10h
59
Victor Wembanyama
2024-25 Donruss Optic · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
11h
60
LeBron James
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$38
0.38×
—
1.960%
$0.74
7h
61
Kyle Guy
2019-20 Panini Mosaic · psa 10.0
$10
0.10×
—
1.960%
$0.20
5h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$93.65
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