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Basketball

Ruby $250 WARM
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EV
-7.4%
Snapshot from 6h ago · public view delayed 6h · Sign up free for the 1-hour view →
Peak 7d
-1.9%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
35.0×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -21.3% to -1.9%
+EV crossings
break-even
≥2× pull
7.41%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.090%
grail odds
Median pull
$197
0.79× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 76% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $250 pack. Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Basketball · Ruby · $250 ≤0.05× pack price — 0.00% chance ≤0.05 0% .05-.1× pack price — 0.00% chance .05-.1 0% .1-.2× pack price — 0.00% chance .1-.2 0% .2-.35× pack price — 0.00% chance .2-.35 0% .35-.55× pack price — 15.68% chance .35-.55 16% .55-.75× pack price — 31.36% chance .55-.75 31% .75-.9× pack price — 21.56% chance .75-.9 22% .9-1× pack price — 7.84% chance .9-1 8% 1-1.25× pack price — 7.84% chance 1-1.25 8% 1.25-1.75× pack price — 6.12% chance 1.25-1.75 6% 1.75-2.5× pack price — 7.08% chance 1.75-2.5 7% 2.5-4× pack price — 2.44% chance 2.5-4 2% 4-7× pack price — 0.00% chance 4-7 0% 7-12× pack price — 0.00% chance 7-12 0% 12-25× pack price — 0.00% chance 12-25 0% >25× pack price — 0.090% chance >25 <0.1% Collect Safe floor · 0.889× break-even · 1.00× grail zone · up to 35× as of Aug 29, 2026 · 6:36 PM PT shouldirip.com
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Alperen Sengun · 2021-22 Panini NBA Hoops · PSA 10 pulled
2m 5s ago
$141
Nikola Jokic · 2016-17 Panini Donruss Optic · PSA 10 pulled
2m 5s ago
$189
LeBron James · 2003-04 Upper Deck Top Prospects · PSA 10 pulled
2m 5s ago
$190
LaMelo Ball · 2020-21 Panini Chronicles · PSA 10 added
2m 5s ago
$100
Live activity is Pro
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Card pool

Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.

61 cards · sorted by value ▼
1
Stephen Curry Grail
2018 Panini Kaboom Rewards Multi-Sport · psa 9.0
$8,761
35.05×
0.030%
$2.63
4d
2
Nikola Jokic Grail
2025-26 Bowman · psa 10.0
$6,699
26.80×
0.030%
$2.01
1d
3
Anthony Edwards Grail No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini National Treasures · psa 9.0
$6,699
26.80×
0.030%
$2.01
1d
4
Paolo Banchero Chase No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Deca · psa 10.0
$793
3.17×
0.240%
$1.90
10h
5
David Robinson Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$793
3.17×
0.240%
$1.90
1d
6
Tim Duncan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 10.0
$628
2.51×
1.960%
$12.32
7h
7
Anfernee Hardaway Chase
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 10.0
$613
2.45×
0.240%
$1.47
14h
8
Michael Jordan Chase
1997-98 Fleer Ultra · psa 9.0
$608
2.43×
0.240%
$1.46
1d
9
Luka Doncic Chase
2024-25 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$563
2.25×
0.240%
$1.35
1d
10
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$560
2.24×
1.960%
$10.97
9h
11
Yao Ming Chase
2023-24 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$548
2.19×
0.240%
$1.32
9h
12
Michael Jordan
1989-90 NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$532
2.13×
1.960%
$10.43
7h
13
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Upper Deck UD3 · psa 10.0
$479
1.91×
1.960%
$9.38
9h
14
Kon Knueppel Chase
2025-26 Topps · psa 10.0
$475
1.90×
0.240%
$1.14
9h
15
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Topps Finest · psa 9.0
$421
1.68×
1.960%
$8.25
6h
16
Tracy McGrady Chase
2004-05 SkyBox E-XL · psa 8.0
$406
1.62×
0.240%
$0.97
8h
17
Cooper Flagg
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$375
1.50×
1.960%
$7.36
6h
18
Stephen Curry
2009-10 Upper Deck Draft Edition · psa 10.0
$346
1.38×
1.960%
$6.78
6h
19
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Fleer Metal · psa 9.0
$263
1.05×
1.960%
$5.16
1d
20
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 Flair Showcase · psa 9.0
$259
1.04×
1.960%
$5.07
6h
21
Michael Jordan
1997-98 Skybox Z-Force · psa 9.0
$258
1.03×
1.960%
$5.06
11h
22
Shaquille O'Neal
1995-96 Topps Stadium Club · psa 10.0
$250
1.00×
1.960%
$4.90
9h
23
Michael Jordan
1995-96 NBA Hoops · psa 8.0
$247
0.99×
1.960%
$4.84
8h
24
LeBron James
2020-21 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$237
0.95×
1.960%
$4.65
22h
25
Donovan Mitchell
2023-24 Topps Finest · psa 10.0
$237
0.95×
1.960%
$4.65
11h
26
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$228
0.91×
1.960%
$4.47
8h
27
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$221
0.88×
1.960%
$4.34
6h
28
Bam Adebayo
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$217
0.87×
1.960%
$4.25
8h
29
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini Totally Certified · psa 10.0
$211
0.84×
1.960%
$4.14
11h
30
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Flair · psa 9.0
$211
0.84×
1.960%
$4.13
6h
31
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$209
0.84×
1.960%
$4.10
9h
32
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck Rookie Exclusives · psa 9.0
$209
0.84×
1.960%
$4.10
6h
33
Luka Doncic
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$209
0.83×
1.960%
$4.09
8h
34
Michael Jordan
1998-99 Upper Deck Ovation · psa 9.0
$204
0.81×
1.960%
$3.99
6h
35
Nikola Jokic
2024-25 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$201
0.80×
1.960%
$3.93
8h
36
Hakeem Olajuwon
1998-99 Topps · psa 9.0
$197
0.79×
1.960%
$3.87
8h
37
Michael Jordan
2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 9.0
$188
0.75×
1.960%
$3.68
14h
38
Kobe Bryant
2019-20 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$174
0.70×
1.960%
$3.41
9h
39
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Bowman’s Best · psa 9.0
$172
0.69×
1.960%
$3.36
6h
40
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2025-26 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$170
0.68×
1.960%
$3.33
16h
41
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2013-14 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$169
0.68×
1.960%
$3.32
8h
42
Michael Jordan
1995-96 Skybox E-XL · psa 9.0
$158
0.63×
1.960%
$3.10
6h
43
Michael Jordan
2009-10 Upper Deck Michael Jordan Legacy Collection Hall of Fame Edition · psa 10.0
$155
0.62×
1.960%
$3.03
9h
44
Michael Jordan
2001-02 Upper Deck · psa 9.0
$153
0.61×
1.960%
$3.00
6h
45
Donovan Mitchell
2017-18 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$151
0.60×
1.960%
$2.96
8h
46
Kobe Bryant
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$148
0.59×
1.960%
$2.90
7h
47
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$148
0.59×
1.960%
$2.90
7h
48
Tracy McGrady
2002-03 Topps Chrome · psa 10.0
$147
0.59×
1.960%
$2.89
6h
49
Cade Cunningham
2021-22 Panini Prizm · psa 10.0
$144
0.58×
1.960%
$2.83
8h
50
Alperen Sengun
2021-22 Panini NBA Hoops · psa 10.0
$141
0.56×
1.960%
$2.76
1h
51
Kobe Bryant
1997-98 SP Authentic · psa 9.0
$141
0.56×
1.960%
$2.76
7h
52
Magic Johnson
1981-82 Topps · psa 8.0
$138
0.55×
1.960%
$2.70
10h
53
Victor Wembanyama
2023-24 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$138
0.55×
1.960%
$2.69
6h
54
Joel Embiid
2014-15 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$127
0.51×
1.960%
$2.49
6h
55
Michael Jordan
1996-97 Topps Stadium Club · psa 9.0
$114
0.46×
1.960%
$2.24
8h
56
Nikola Jokic
2020-21 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$102
0.41×
1.960%
$2.00
7h
57
Scottie Pippen/Michael Jordan
1996-97 NBA Hoops · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
1.960%
$1.96
6h
58
Evan Mobley
2021-22 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
1.960%
$1.96
8h
59
Alexandre Sarr No Market Comps Found
2024-25 Panini Prizm Black · psa 9.0
$100
0.40×
1.960%
$1.96
6h
60
LeBron James
2003-04 Upper Deck LeBron James · psa 10.0
$100
0.40×
1.960%
$1.96
6h
61
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
2018-19 Panini Prizm · psa 9.0
$98
0.39×
1.960%
$1.92
3h
Σ   pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$231.52
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