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Soccer
Gold $100 WARM
Peak 7d
-18.9%
1d ago
% life +EV
0%
over last 500 polls
Max pull
61.5×
ceiling, this pool
EV trajectory · last 500 polls
Range: -29.3% to -18.9%
+EV crossings
≥2× pull
1.06%
fat-pull odds
≥10× pull
0.060%
grail odds
Median pull
$69
0.69× pack price, odds-weighted
CS Trigger
Pro only
How often does the 10%-extra-for-80%-floor insurance actually pay out on this pack? Estimates, not advice. You decide.
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Pool composition
You're underwater on 82% of pulls — most cards here are worth less than the $100 pack.
Red = below break-even; green = above. The amber zone is where Collect Safe's 80% floor catches you.
Live activity
Every pull or add moves the EV
Card pool
Top cards by AC market value. Grail chips mark the top 0.1%; Chase marks the tier below. Trend tracks each card's value across every pack it's appeared in — its full history, not just its time in this pack — climbing or falling.
1
Lionel Messi
Grail
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$6,146
61.46×
—
0.020%
$1.23
—
2
Lamine Yamal
Grail
2023-24 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$4,237
42.37×
—
0.020%
$0.85
23d
3
Cristiano Ronaldo
Grail
2024-25 Panini Donruss · psa 8.0
$2,710
27.10×
—
0.020%
$0.54
—
4
Robert Lewandowski
Chase
2023-24 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 10.0
$328
3.29×
—
0.250%
$0.82
3d
5
Heung-Min Son
Chase
2022 Panini Prizm FIFA WC Qatar · psa 9.0
$255
2.55×
—
0.250%
$0.64
2d
6
David Silva
Chase
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 9.0
$240
2.40×
—
0.250%
$0.60
9h
7
Pedri
Chase
2020-21 Topps Museum Collection UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$238
2.38×
—
0.250%
$0.59
5d
8
Kevin De Bruyne
Chase
No Market Comps Found
2020-21 Panini Prizm Premier League · beckett 9.0
$179
1.79×
—
0.250%
$0.45
8h
9
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$179
1.79×
—
1.960%
$3.52
1d
10
Erling Haaland
Chase
2023-24 Panini Select Premier League · psa 10.0
$155
1.55×
—
0.250%
$0.39
7d
11
Lionel Messi
2023-24 Panini Select FIFA · psa 10.0
$129
1.29×
—
1.960%
$2.54
7h
12
Christian Pulisic
2017-18 Panini Select · psa 10.0
$129
1.29×
—
1.960%
$2.53
6h
13
Lionel Messi
2021-22 Topps UEFA CL · psa 10.0
$124
1.24×
—
1.960%
$2.43
6h
14
Bruno Fernandes
Chase
2023-24 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$118
1.18×
—
0.250%
$0.29
2d
15
Lionel Messi
Chase
2022-23 Topps Chrome UEFA CC · psa 10.0
$117
1.17×
—
0.250%
$0.29
6d
16
Lionel Messi
2019 Panini The National VIP · psa 9.0
$115
1.15×
—
1.960%
$2.25
16h
17
Lamine Yamal
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$105
1.05×
—
1.960%
$2.06
10h
18
Pedri
2023-24 Panini Obsidian · psa 9.0
$102
1.02×
—
1.960%
$1.99
6h
19
Luka Modric
2020-21 Panini Mosaic La Liga · psa 10.0
$101
1.01×
—
1.960%
$1.98
11h
20
Christian Pulisic
2024-25 Panini Select FIFA · psa 9.0
$96
0.96×
—
1.960%
$1.88
6h
21
Harry Maguire
2023-24 Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$94
0.94×
—
1.960%
$1.84
6h
22
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$94
0.94×
—
1.960%
$1.84
7h
23
Nahuel Molina/Lionel Messi
2024 Panini Mcdonalds Argentina Campeones del Mundo · psa 9.0
$89
0.89×
—
1.960%
$1.74
6h
24
Kevin De Bruyne
2022-23 Panini Select FIFA · psa 10.0
$89
0.89×
—
1.960%
$1.74
9h
25
Harrison Murray-Campbell
2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Premier League · psa 10.0
$86
0.86×
—
1.960%
$1.69
1d
26
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$84
0.84×
—
1.960%
$1.64
9h
27
Kylian Mbappe
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$84
0.83×
—
1.960%
$1.64
6h
28
Lionel Messi
2025 Topps Now MLS · psa 10.0
$81
0.81×
—
1.960%
$1.59
6h
29
Lionel Messi
2021-22 Topps Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.960%
$1.57
6h
30
Neymar Jr.
2014 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 10.0
$80
0.80×
—
1.960%
$1.57
1d
31
Mohamed Salah
2018 Panini Prizm World Cup · psa 10.0
$77
0.77×
—
1.960%
$1.52
18h
32
Kylian Mbappe
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$76
0.76×
—
1.960%
$1.49
9h
33
Kylian Mbappe
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$74
0.74×
—
1.960%
$1.45
8h
34
Lionel Messi
2024 Topps Now MLS · psa 10.0
$74
0.73×
—
1.960%
$1.44
3h
35
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 8.0
$72
0.71×
—
1.960%
$1.40
8h
36
Estevao Willian
2025-26 Topps Chrome Premier League · psa 10.0
$69
0.69×
—
1.960%
$1.35
8h
37
Phil Foden
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$64
0.64×
—
1.960%
$1.25
6h
38
Erling Haaland
2022-23 Panini Select Premier League · psa 10.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.960%
$1.10
1d
39
Lamine Yamal
2024-25 Panini Select FIFA · psa 9.0
$56
0.56×
—
1.960%
$1.09
1d
40
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$52
0.52×
—
1.960%
$1.02
11h
41
Bukayo Saka
2021-22 Panini Prizm Premier League · psa 10.0
$51
0.51×
—
1.960%
$1.00
1d
42
Lionel Messi
2022-23 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$50
0.50×
—
1.960%
$0.99
7h
43
Erling Haaland
2021-22 Panini Donruss Road to Qatar · psa 10.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.960%
$0.94
12h
44
Vinicius Junior
2018-19 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$48
0.48×
—
1.960%
$0.94
14h
45
Jan Oblak
2023-24 Panini Select La Liga · psa 10.0
$47
0.47×
—
1.960%
$0.92
9h
46
Xavi Simons
Pop 1
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$46
0.46×
—
1.960%
$0.90
6h
47
Lamine Yamal
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 9.0
$44
0.44×
—
1.960%
$0.86
9h
48
Sergio Ramos
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2019-20 Panini Obsidian · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
1d
49
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Pop 1
No Market Comps Found
2023-24 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
7h
50
Jermain Defoe
Pop 1
2025-26 Topps Chrome Premier League · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
8h
51
Paulo Dybala
No Market Comps Found
2018-19 Panini Treble · psa 9.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
9h
52
Dani Olmo
Pop 1
2023-24 Panini Donruss · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
9h
53
Kai Havertz
No Market Comps Found
2021-22 Topps Stadium Club Chrome UEFA Champions League · arena_club 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
22h
54
Milos Kerkez
Pop 1
2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Edition Premier League · psa 10.0
$40
0.40×
—
1.960%
$0.78
18h
55
Thierry Henry
2010 Panini FIFA World Cup South Africa · psa 9.0
$39
0.39×
—
1.960%
$0.76
9h
56
Viktor Gyokeres
2023-24 Topps Merlin UEFA Club Competitions · psa 9.0
$38
0.38×
—
1.960%
$0.74
9h
57
Jadon Sancho
2020 Panini Select UEFA Euro · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.960%
$0.73
6h
58
Mohamed Salah
2019-20 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 9.0
$37
0.37×
—
1.960%
$0.73
7h
59
Joao Felix
2018-19 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League · psa 10.0
$33
0.33×
—
1.960%
$0.64
1d
60
David Ayala
Pop 1
2023 Topps Finest MLS · psa 10.0
$25
0.25×
—
1.960%
$0.49
6h
61
Julian Alvarez
2022-23 Topps Finest UEFA Club Competitions · psa 8.0
$22
0.22×
—
1.960%
$0.43
17h
Σ pool EV (Σ value × pull probability)
$74.41
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